May 29, 2022

U.S. Government Intelligence: DNI/IARPA Announces Open Source Indicators Program

IARPA Announces New Research Program

The Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), within the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI), announced today a new research program to develop and test novel methods to assist intelligence analysts in anticipating significant societal events. The Open Source Indicators Program (OSI) will focus on events that include political and humanitarian crises, mass violence, mass migrations, disease outbreaks, economic instability, resource shortages, and responses to natural disasters.

Through a Broad Agency Announcement, IARPA is soliciting innovative research proposals for the OSI program from academia and industry. The announcement, along with additional information about the program, can be found at

Research shows that many significant societal events are preceded by population-level changes in communication, consumption and movement. Some of these changes may be indirectly observable from diverse, publicly available data, but few methods have been developed for anticipating or detecting unexpected events by fusing such data. IARPA’s OSI program will use innovative statistical methods that combine publicly available data in order to alert analysts to changes in population behavior. As such, the program will not include information that identifies, geolocates, or tracks individuals.

Direct to Open Source Indicators (OSI) Program Broad Agency Announcement (via

Direct to Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) Web Site

Direct to Director of National Intelligence Web Site

See Also: “Intelligence Agencies Seek Tools To Predict Global Events” (via Information Week Government)

See Also: Briefings From Open Source Indicators Proposers’ Day (August 3, 2011)

Proposers’ Day Posters

About Gary Price

Gary Price ( is a librarian, writer, consultant, and frequent conference speaker based in the Washington D.C. metro area. Before launching INFOdocket, Price and Shirl Kennedy were the founders and senior editors at ResourceShelf and DocuTicker for 10 years. From 2006-2009 he was Director of Online Information Services at, and is currently a contributing editor at Search Engine Land.